But not as much as he hates Oregis.......

 

that was a joke, and i didnt mean to offend anyone.

i dont want any more drama. arnt you on TR Time out?

 

Looks like I won't go to the Subaru Challenge because of Wilma.

 

what dont be a pussy come on you guys... a little rain is going to stop you guys

 

As of this morning, when it set the record for lowest pressure on record in the Atlantic basin (Gilbert was 888mb), it was actually a pretty small storm. The eye was only 2.5 miles wide or so this morning. Now, as of the 8pm advisory, 10/19, it is down to 160 max sustained winds. As of 5pm the eye was restructuring, with the "real" eyewall at 5 miles wide, and breaks forming at 10 and 45 miles wide. These eyewall replacement cycles will cause the intensity to fluctuate, so it'll probably go down even more as the inner eyewall dissolves (which is actually quite cool to watch in the visible satellite pictures).

Hurricane force winds aren't that far out from center, only about 60 miles as of 8pm. Storm surge as of this point is only 7-10ft, which is quite low for a storm this powerful. Keep in mind that Katrina had a 25+ foot storm surge when it hit at an even lower wind intensity.

 

it is still slowing down

 

This one's gonna end up like Hurricane Charlie was last August... its gonna be all about the timing. If the front comes in early, it'll sweep it further south. If it comes in later, it'll carry it further north.

Once Wilma gets hooked up with the front, it's gonna start haulin ass. I'm talking like 25-30mph forward speed, which is incredibly fast for a hurricane.

 

 

thats crazy, i just cant help to think of charlie and the change he did so fast. I think we should still be on gard and not think we are safe